influence the accuracy of their beliefs. We find that respondents tend to overestimate the old-age dependency ratio when … considering the current and long-term demographic situation separately. However, their beliefs regarding the change of the old … statutory pension insurance plays an important role for more accurate beliefs. …

If asking subjects their beliefs during repeated game play changes the way those subjects play, using those stated … beliefs to evaluate and compare theories of strategic behavior is problematic. We experimentally verify that belief … the goodness of fit of structural models of belief learning, and the prior beliefs implied by such structural models are …

impact of prior beliefs on the treatment effects. As the salience and the information treatments barely differ, we conclude …

impact of prior beliefs on the treatment effects. As the salience and the information treatments barely differ, we conclude …

beliefs about a candidate after acquiring more information, and persists in final evaluations. This bias has a significantly …