We introduce shocks to the availability of US dollar funding for non-US financial intermediaries in a two-country New Keynesian model with financial frictions. Such dollar shortages lead to uncovered interest rate parity deviations and have a significant negative effects on the macroeconomy....

Topics include but are not limited to: 1) Dos and don’ts of inflation targeting ; 2) Optimal inflation target and the natural rate of interest in economies with limited transmission ; 3) Constraints of fiscal dominance and optimal balance between fiscal and monetary policy ; 4) Policy with...

China has established its role as a major world lender, and policy changes affecting its external position would therefore have pronounced effects over a range of countries and on the global financial landscape in general. In this paper, I characterize China’s external asset holdings and macro...

Labor productivity – real market output per unit of labor input - is a central measure of an economy's standard of living and stands at the intersection of macro and labor economics, relating phenomena as diverse as human capital formation, technological change, dynamics of and trends in the...

The global and European economy have been operating under increasingly unstable conditions for a considerable period of time. More recently, the growing threat of inflation in times of high debt as well as the war in Ukraine have exacerbated the instabilities. Against this background, the...

We provide evidence for a causal link between the US economy and the global financial cycle. Using a unique intraday dataset, we show that US macroeconomic news releases have large and significant effects on global risky asset prices. Stock price indexes of 27 countries, the VIX, and commodity...

We present evidence that the rise in inflation in Japan since 2014 is a result of a hidden stagflation: the relative prices of durable consumption and ICT investment goods stopped declining, reflecting technology stagnation and exerting an inflationary pressure on the economy and; the real side...

Professors Eric Ghysels, Massimiliano Marcellino and Jonas Straukas will a three-day course entitled “What's New in Mixed Frequency Data (MIDAS), with Applications to Machine Learning and Big Data”. The focus of the course is the use of mixed frequency data in economics and finance. A...

Highly interconnected global supply chains make countries vulnerable to supply chain disruptions. In this paper, we estimate the macroeconomic effects of global supply chain shocks for the euro area. Our empirical model combines business cycle variables with data from international container...

Topics: Macroeconomic implications of new monetary policy strategies; Monetary policy in models with heterogeneous agents; Implications of structural changes for monetary policy; Monetary policy and bounded rationality of economic agents; Distributional effects of conventional and unconventional...