2008-12-04–2008-12-05 - Halle (Saale) (GERMANY) - Halle Institute for Economic Research IWH; Centre …
Forecasting is a key tool in applied macroeconometrics. However, occurrences like the subprime crisis are a great challenge for forecasting. On the one hand, it is of interest whether a crisis will occur or not. On the other hand, the forecasts of real or financial variables might be disturbed...