基于非线性假设的人口和碳排放关系研究

Both theoretical and empirical analyses show that the relationship between population development and carbon emissions is dynamic, and the population elasticity of carbon emissions is a nonlinear function of population size, age structure, household size, urbanization, sex structure, and economic development. This paper argues that the model based on the hypothesis that the relationship between population and carbon emissions is nonlinear results in a better smiulation to the historical data than does the traditional model, and also a better representation of the effects of population development and economic growth on carbon emissions. The effects of population development on carbon emissions are quite different in developed and developing countries. Therefore, coping strategies need to be adopted according to the actual situation of population development in order to mitigate clmiate change.