Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model

This is the fourth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we add Latin American economies to a previously estimated small quarterly projection model of the US, Euro Area, and Japanese economies. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques, which provide a very efficient way of imposing restrictions to produce both plausible dynamics and sensib

MoreLess

Year of publication:	2009
Authors:	Fund, International Monetary
Publisher:	Washington : International Monetary Fund
Subject:	Lateinamerika \| Latin America \| Bayes-Statistik \| Bayesian inference \| Makroökonometrie \| Macroeconometrics \| Welt \| World

Online Resource

Check full text access |

More access options

Check Google Scholar

In libraries world-wide (WorldCat)

In German libraries (KVK)

subito order

I need help

Extent:	Online-Ressource (50 p)
Series:	IMF Working Papers IMF working paper ; WP/09/85
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Language:	English
Notes:	Description based upon print version of record Contents; I. Introduction; II. Benchmark Model; A. Background; B. The Specification of the Model; B.1 Observable variables and data definitions; B.2 Stochastic processes and model definitions; B.3 Behavioral equations; B.4 Cross correlations of disturbances; III. Extending the Model to Include Financial-Real Linkages; A. Background; B. Model Specification Incorporating the US Bank Lending Tightening Variable; IV. Confronting the Model with the Data; A. Bayesian Estimation; B. Results; B.1 Estimates of output gap; B.2 Estimates of coefficients B.3 Estimates of standard deviation of structural shocks and cross correlationsB.4 RMSEs; B.5 Impulse response functions; B.6 Historical variance decomposition; V. Concluding Remarks; References; Appendix Tables; 1. GPM Data Definitions; 2. Trade Matrix (Average 2001-2007, in percent); Figures; 1. Output Gap in LA5; Text Tables; 1. Results from Posterior Maximization; 2. Estimated Parameters in the Output Gap Equation; 3. Estimated Parameters in the Inflation Equation; 4. Estimated Parameters in the Monetary Policy Rule 2. Results from Posterior Parameters (Standard Deviation of Structural Shocks)3. Results from Posterior Parameters (Correlation of Structural Shocks); 4. Root Mean Squared Errors; 5. Domestic Demand Shock; 6. Domestic Price Shock; 7. Demand Shock in the US; 8. BLT Shock in the US; 9. Historical Decomposition of Inflation 2004-08
ISBN:	978-1-4518-7232-3 ; 978-1-4519-1667-6 ; 978-1-4518-7232-3
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677769