Differential Analysis of Unemployment Duration with Emphasis on Long-Term Unemployment

This paper presents a summary of results derived from a study supported by the Labour Ministry (MIRE Convention) on data (comprising about 3 million registrations) from the French ANPE (Agence Nationale Pour l'Emploi). A principal focus was the long term unemployment duration.  The first part of the paper is devoted to a brief description of a generalization of the classical segmentation method to take into account the competing exit modes. This method provides a prognostical stratification as well as an analysis of the individual factors "effects" (simple and multiple) on unemployment duration. A short description of the main results is then presented. Copyright Fondazione Giacomo Brodolini and Blackwell Publishers Ltd 1997.