Fiscal Policy and the Yield Curve in a Small Open Economy

This paper contains an empirical investigation of the effects of fiscal policy on the yield curve based on a conventional stochastic macro model designed for a small open economy. The empirical investigation undertaken utilizes data for Sweden, a country which has experienced very large fluctuations in the government budget deficits and in the short- and long-term nominal interest rates, thus providing a better empirical test than previous studies. According to the empirical results, larger budget deficits spell higher interest rates, as posited by conventional macroeconomic theory.