In-sample confidence bands and out-of-sample forecast bands for time-varying parameters in observation-driven models
Year of publication: |
July-September 2016
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Authors: | Blasques, Francisco ; Koopman, Siem Jan ; Łasak, Katarzyna ; Lucas, André |
Published in: |
International journal of forecasting. - Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier, ISSN 0169-2070, ZDB-ID 283943-X. - Vol. 32.2016, 3, p. 875-887
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Subject: | Autoregressive conditional duration | Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity | Score driven models | Time-varying mean | Delta-method | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Zeitreihenanalyse | Time series analysis | ARCH-Modell | ARCH model | Bayes-Statistik | Bayesian inference | Schätzung | Estimation | Schätztheorie | Estimation theory |
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