Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data : Theory and Practice

Introduction: Sources and Types of Big Data for Macroeconomic Forecasting -- Capturing Dynamic Relationships: Dynamic Factor Models -- Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressions, Panel VARs, and Global VARs -- Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions -- Volatility Forecasting in a Data Rich Environment -- Neural Networks -- Seeking Parsimony: Penalized Time Series Regression -- Principal Component and Static Factor Analysis -- Subspace Methods -- Variable Selection and Feature Screening -- Dealing with Model Uncertainty: Frequentist Averaging -- Bayesian Model Averaging -- Bootstrap Aggregating and Random Forest -- Boosting -- Density Forecasting -- Forecast Evaluation -- Further Issues: Unit Roots and Cointegration -- Turning Points and Classification -- Robust Methods for High-dimensional Regression and Covariance Matrix Estimation -- Frequency Domain -- Hierarchical Forecasting