Shakeouts and Market Crashes

Stock-market crashes tend to follow run-ups in prices. These episodes look like bubbles that gradually inflate and then suddenly burst. We show that such bubbles can form in a Zeira-Rob type of model in which demand size is uncertain. Two conditions are sufficient for this to happen: A declining hazard rate in the prior distribution over market size and a positively sloped supply of capital to the industry. For the period 1971-2001 we fit the model to the Telecom sector.

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Year of publication:	2004-06
Authors:	barbarino, alessandro ; Jovanovic, Boyan
Institutions:	National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Extent:	application/pdf
Series:	NBER Working Papers.
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Notes:	AP EFG published as Alessandro Barbarino & Boyan Jovanovic, 2007. "Shakeouts And Market Crashes," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 48(2), pages 385-420, 05. Number 10556
Classification:	G0 - Financial Economics. General ; L0 - Industrial Organization. General
Source:	RePEc - Research Papers in Economics

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005085223