The "probability of recession" : evaluating probabilistic and non-probabilistic forecasts from probit models of US recessions
Year of publication: |
2013
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Authors: | Ratcliff, Ryan |
Published in: |
Economics letters. - Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier, ISSN 0165-1765, ZDB-ID 717210-2. - Vol. 121.2013, 2, p. 311-315
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Subject: | Recession forecast | Forecast evaluation | Calibration | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Konjunktur | Business cycle | Frühindikator | Leading indicator | Probit-Modell | Probit model | Theorie | Theory | USA | United States | Wirtschaftsprognose | Economic forecast | Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung | Probability theory |
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