Uncertainty in oil production predicted by percolation theory

In this paper, we apply scaling laws from percolation theory to the problem of estimating the time for a fluid injected into an oilfield to breakthrough into a production well. The main contribution is to show that when these previously published results are used on realistic data they are in good agreement with results calculated in a more conventional way, but they can be obtained significantly and more quickly. As a result, they may be used in practical engineering circumstances and aid decision-making for real field problems.