Water in the macro economy : integrating economics and engineering into an analytical model

Machine generated contents note: 1. Introduction -- 2. The Water Environment and National Planning -- Water in the Economy -- Priority of the Water Agenda -- Investments in the Water Sector -- How does the Water Sector Relate to the Economy as a Whole? -- Need for a Multi-disciplinary Approach -- Horizontal and Vertical Inter-linkages in Water Sector Planning -- Towards Integrated Water Resource Strategies -- Methodological Overview -- Methodologies for Economic Planning -- Environmental Accounts and Engineering Teclniques -- Study Focus: Trigger Effects of Water in the Economy -- An Empirical Example: Morocco -- The Methodology -- Account Balances -- Material Balances -- The Hydrological Balance -- Water Resource Planning and Management -- River Basin Approach -- Water Allocation System -- Intersectoral Water Allocation -- Shadow Price of Water -- Incorporating Uncertainty into the Process -- Integrating Water into the Macroeconomic System -- Balancing Water-Related Activities -- Water as Part of the Production Process of the Economic Sectors -- Merging the Two Accounts: Water and the Economy -- Economic Impact Analysis -- Leonriefs Input-Output Analysis -- Multipliers and Ratios -- Economy-Wide Value of Water -- Framework for an Integrated Water Resource Strategy -- Scenarios for Selected Water Policy Options -- Towards an Action Plan -- Conclusion -- 4. Application: Case Study of Morocco -- Morocco -- The Moroccan Economy -- Overview of the Water Sector in Morocco -- Water-Stress Situation -- Oum Er Rbia, Bou Regrag and Sebou River Basins -- Institutional Framework -- The Social Account Matrix for Morocco -- Macro-Economic Integrated Analysis of Hydrology Model (MEIAH) -- Modeling Approach -- A User-Friendly Framework -- The Moroccan Base Scenario -- Base Scenario Results and Economic Framework -- Analysis of the River Basin Approach -- Urban Demand: Domestic and Industry -- Agricultural Production and Trade -- Water Accounts for the Base Scenario-Adjustment of -- Three-Basin Data to National Level -- Water Input-Output Table for Morocco -- Water Input-Output Table -- Closed Matrix to Households -- Multipliers and Ratios -- Output Multipliers -- Income Multipliers -- Employment Multipliers -- Water Use Multipliers -- Macro-Economic Value of Water -- Economic Effects -- A Linear Programming Approach -- Scenario Analysis -- Sensitivity to Water Availability -- Economy-Wide Demand Curve -- Interpretation -- Conclusion -- 5. Economic Analysis and Policy Implications -- Moving Beyond the Scenario of the Present to Evaluate -- Possible Future Scenarios -- Sustaining the Environment -- Environmental Scenario Analysis -- Domestic Policy Reforms -- Not All Policy Options Are Analysed Here -- Cropping-Pattern Policy-Scenario C -- Global Balance and Inter-Basin Transfers -- Cost to the Government and Pricing Policies -- International Policies: Scenarios D and E -- Scenario D: Free Trade with 50% Freeing of Cropping Patterns -- Scenario E: The Relationship Among Water, Trade, and -- Food Security -- Targeting Priority Investments -- How Best to Invest a Million DH? -- Investing in the Water Sector -- Investing in Agriculture -- Investing in Industry and Services -- Choice of Investments -- Strategic Conclusions -- 6. Conclusions and Future Development -- Goals and Objectives of this Study -- Conclusions and Recommendations -- Implementation of the MEIAH Model -- What Is the Model and Who Is It For? -- How Can Such a Model Be Used? -- Application of the Model to other Countries -- Future Developments -- For MEIAH as Applied to Morocco -- Limitations of the Input-Output Model -- Onward Creation of a Water CGE Model -- Appendix 1: Case Study of Morocco -- Appendix 2: The MEAIH-1 Model: A Decision Support System -- Appendix 3: Background on the Input-Output Table Used -- in MEIAH, and on Parallel Work by Others -- Appendix 4: Dealing with Uncertainty in Policy Decisions -- Bibliography