Wolfers, Justin (contributor); Zitzewitz, Eric (contributor) - 2006
biased) estimates of average beliefs about the probability an event occurs. -- Manski ; information market ; event future …) estimates of average beliefs about the probability an event occurs.
JEL Classification: D4, D8, G13
Keywords: Manski …, information market, event future, options, futures, binary option
Corresponding author:
Justin Wolfers
The Wharton School …