Alquist, Ron; Kilian, Lutz; Vigfusson, Robert J. - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011
to know about the choice of sample period and about the tradeoffs between alternative oil price series and model … with oil price forecasts? Can joint forecasts of the price of oil and of U.S. real GDP growth be improved upon by allowing … in forecasting the price of oil? How useful are survey forecasts? How does one evaluate the sensitivity of a baseline oil …