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461
The bond yield "conundrum" from a macro-finance perspective
Rudebusch, Glenn D.
;
Swanson, Eric T.
;
Wu, Tao
-
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
-
2006
In 2004 and 2005, long-term interest rates remained remarkably low despite improving economic conditions and rising short-term interest rates, a situation that former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan dubbed a "conundrum." We document the extent and timing of this conundrum using two empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361531
Saved in:
462
The frequency of price adjustment and New Keynesian business cycle dynamics
Dennis, Richard
-
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
-
2006
The Calvo pricing model that lies at the heart of many New Keynesian business cycle models has been roundly criticized for being inconsistent both with time series data on inflation and with micro-data on the frequency of price changes. In this paper we show that a modified version of the Gali...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005712226
Saved in:
463
The impact of divorce laws on marriage-specific capital
Stevenson, Betsey
-
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
-
2006
This paper considers how divorce law alters the incentives for couples to invest in their marriage, focusing on the impact of unilateral divorce laws on investments in new marriages. Differences across states between 1970 and 1980 provide useful quasi-experimental variation with which to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361503
Saved in:
464
The relative price and relative productivity channels for aggregate fluctuations
Swanson, Eric T.
-
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
-
2006
This paper demonstrates that sectoral heterogeneity itself--without any additional bells or whistles--has first-order implications for the transmission of aggregate shocks to aggregate variables in an otherwise standard DSGE model. The effects of sectoral heterogeneity on this transmission are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361489
Saved in:
465
The U.S. current account deficit and the expected share of world output
Engel, Charles
;
Rogers, John H.
-
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
-
2006
We investigate the possibility that the large current account deficits of the U.S. are the outcome of optimizing behavior. We develop a simple long-run world equilibrium model in which the current account is determined by the expected discounted present value of its future share of world GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361493
Saved in:
466
The U.S. economy in 2006
Yellen, Janet L.
-
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
-
2006
Speech before an Australian Business Economists luncheon, Sydney, Australia via satellite link from San Francisco, March 15, 2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010724785
Saved in:
467
Time-varying U.S. inflation dynamics and the New-Keynesian Phillips curve
Lansing, Kevin J.
-
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
-
2006
This paper introduces a form of boundedly-rational expectations into an otherwise standard New-Keynesian Phillips curve. The representative agent's forecast rule is optimal (in the sense of minimizing mean squared forecast errors), conditional on a perceived law of motion for inflation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361487
Saved in:
468
Unemployment insurance and the uninsured
Regev, Tali
-
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
-
2006
Under federal-state law workers who quit a job are not entitled to receive unemployment insurance benefits. To show how the existence of the uninsured affects wages and employment, I extend an equilibrium search model to account for two types of unemployed workers: those who are currently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361465
Saved in:
469
Welcoming remarks to the 2006 National Community Reinvestment Conference
Yellen, Janet L.
-
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
-
2006
Remarks to the National Community Reinvestment Conference, Las Vegas, NV, March 20. 2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010724773
Saved in:
470
Accounting for the secular "decline" of U.S. manufacturing
Marquis, Milton H.
(
contributor
);
Trehan, Bharat
(
contributor
)
-
2005
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003159385
Saved in:
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