Grogger, Jeffrey - Harris School of Public Policy, University of Chicago - 2006
Forecasting the Food Stamp caseload has become increasingly important. One reason is the sheer frequency and magnitude … Control program. Yet Food Stamp caseloads are notoriously difficult to predict. Despite an extensive modeling effort, Dynarski … et al. (1991) concluded that their model did not yield "highly accurate" forecasts of the Food Stamp caseload, and that …