Weber, Enzo; Zika, Gerd - Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB) - 2013
"Using the example of short-term forecasts for German employment figures, the article at hand examines the question …-of-sample forecasts for the aggregated employment forecast are compared to and contrasted with forecasts based on a vector … employment forecast. Moreover, fluctuation- window tests help identify the phases during which disaggregation increases forecast …