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~isPartOf:"CESifo working papers"
~isPartOf:"Intereconomics : review of European economic policy"
~subject:"Deutschland"
~subject:"Estimation"
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Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
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Sova, Robert
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Thorvaldur Gylfason
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Yotov, Yoto V.
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Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza
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Grâdšṭayn, Marq
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11
Exchange rates and sovereign risk : a nonlinear approach based on local Gaussian correlations
Heinlein, Reinhold
;
Legrenzi, Gabriella
;
Mahadeo, Scott …
-
2024
We empirically assess the interlinkages between sovereign risk, measured in terms of CDS spreads, and exchange rates for a sample of emerging markets. Our period of analysis includes periods of severe stress, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukrainian War. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505308
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12
Gravity without apology : the science of elasticities, distance, and trade
Carrère, Céline
;
Mrázová, Monika
;
Neary, J. Peter
-
2020
Gravity as both fact and theory is one of the great success stories of recent research on international trade, and has featured prominently in the policy debate over Brexit. We first review the facts, noting the overwhelming evidence that trade tends to fall with distance. We then introduce some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012177012
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13
Institutions, trade and development : a quantitative analysis
Beverelli, Cosimo
;
Keck, Alexander
;
Larch, Mario
; …
-
2018
We propose and apply methods to quantify the impact of national institutions on international trade and development. We are able to identify the direct impact of country-specific institutions on international trade within the structural gravity framework. Our approach naturally addresses the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011800710
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14
Global uncertainty
Caggiano, Giovanni
;
Castelnuovo, Efrem
-
2021
the
world
output loss that materialized during the great recession would have been 13% lower in absence of GFU shocks. We … after GFU shocks, the larger the
world
output contraction is. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431805
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15
Staggered difference-in-differences in gravity settings : revisiting the effects of trade agreements
Nagengast, Arne J.
;
Yotov, Yoto
-
2023
We nest an extended two-way fixed effect (ETWFE) estimator for staggered difference-in-differences within the structural gravity model. To test the ETWFE, we estimate the effects of regional trade agreements (RTAs). The results suggest that RTA estimates in the current gravity literature may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014431432
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16
Pandemic-era inflation drivers and global spillovers
Di Giovanni, Julian
;
Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem
;
Silva, Álvaro
-
2023
We estimate a multi-country multi-sector New Keynesian model to quantify the drivers of domestic inflation during 2020–2023 in several countries, including the United States. The model matches observed inflation together with sector-level prices and wages. We further measure the relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014434281
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17
Financial development and export concentration
Unger, Florian
-
2023
This paper analyzes the impact of financial development on export concentration. I incorporate credit constraints into a trade model with heterogeneous exporters and endogenous quality choice. The model predicts that financial development increases innovation activity and export shares of larger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014228271
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18
Estimating the effects of trade agreements : lessons from 60 years of methods and data
Larch, Mario
;
Yotov, Yoto
-
2023
Starting with Tinbergen (1962), quantifying the effects of regional trade agreements (RTAs) on international trade flows has always been among the most popular topics in the trade literature. Also not surprisingly, to estimate the effects of RTAs, most researchers and policy analysts have relied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013540804
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19
Currency unions, trade, and heterogeneity
Chen, Natalie
;
Novy, Dennis
-
2018
How do trade costs affect international trade? This paper offers a new approach. We rely on a flexible gravity equation that predicts variable trade cost elasticities, both across and within country pairs. We apply this framework to the effect of currency unions on international trade. While we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867116
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20
The falling elasticity of global trade to economic activity : testing the demand channel
Auboin, Marc
;
Borino, Floriana
-
2018
Since the recovery from the great financial crisis in 2010, global real trade flows grew much slower than pre-crisis, in both absolute terms (growth rates) and relative terms (relative to GDP, from 2:1 in the great 1990's to 1:1 since 2012) A debate has arisen as to whether this global trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900772
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