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~isPartOf:"CESifo working papers"
~person:"Caggiano, Giovanni"
~subject:"Risiko"
~subject:"Theorie"
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Caggiano, Giovanni
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1
Global uncertainty
Caggiano, Giovanni
;
Castelnuovo, Efrem
-
2021
the
world
output loss that materialized during the great recession would have been 13% lower in absence of GFU shocks. We … after GFU shocks, the larger the
world
output contraction is. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431805
Saved in:
2
The global effects of Covid-19-induced uncertainty
Caggiano, Giovanni
;
Castelnuovo, Efrem
;
Kima, Richard
-
2020
We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and
world
… outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in
world
output one year after the uncertainty shock due to Covid-19 to be about 14%. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213164
Saved in:
3
Uncertainty and monetary policy during the great recession
Pellegrino, Giovanni
;
Castelnuovo, Efrem
;
Caggiano, Giovanni
-
2021
We employ a nonlinear VAR framework and a state-of-the-art identification strategy to document the large response of real activity to a financial uncertainty shock during and in the aftermath of the great recession. We replicate this evidence with an estimated DSGE framework featuring a concept...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012495676
Saved in:
4
Liquidity traps and large-scale financial crises
Caggiano, Giovanni
;
Castelnuovo, Efrem
;
Damette, Olivier
; …
-
2018
This paper estimates a nonlinear Threshold-VAR to investigate if a Keynesian liquidity trap due to a speculative motive was in place in the U.S. Great Depression and the recent Great Recession. We find clear evidence in favor of a breakdown of the liquidity effect after an unexpected increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011863616
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