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~isPartOf:"Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute"
~isPartOf:"Public Policy Discussion Papers"
~subject:"USA"
~subject:"Volatilität"
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Search: "Budget deficit" OR "Budgetary policy" OR "Business cycle" OR "EU" OR "EU budget"
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ECONIS (ZBW)
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84
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date (oldest first)
1
Model-based
business
cycle
and financial cycle decomposition for Europe and the U.S.
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lit, Rutger
;
Lucas, André
-
2016
We develop a multivariate unobserved components model to extract
business
cycle
and financial cycle indicators from a … regular
business
cycle
. Moreover, cyclical movements in credit related variables largely depend on the financial cycle, and … only marginally on the
business
cycle
. Property prices appear to have their own idiosyncratic dynamics and do not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520505
Saved in:
2
Is there really a global
business
cycle
? : a dynamic factor model with stochastic factor selection
Berger, Tino
;
Pozzi, Lorenzo
-
2016
particular on the existence of a global
business
cycle
as the literature has, in our opinion unjustifiably, taken for granted its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556201
Saved in:
3
Evidence on features of a DSGE
business
cycle
model from Bayesian model
Strachan, Rodney W.
;
Dijk, Herman K. van
-
2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009722689
Saved in:
4
The effect of the great moderation on the US
business
cycle
in a time-varying multivariate trend-cycle model
Creal, Drew
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Zivot, Eric
-
2008
In this paper we investigate whether the dynamic properties of the U.S.
business
cycle
have changed in the last fifty … years. For this purpose we develop a flexible
business
cycle
indicator that is constructed from a moderate set of … to emphasize the
business
cycle
frequencies that are of interest to applied researchers and policymakers. Stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376640
Saved in:
5
The effect of the great moderation on the US
business
cycle
in a time-varying multivariate trend-cycle model
Creal, Drew
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Zivot, Eric
-
2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003739126
Saved in:
6
Measuring financial cycles in a model-based analysis : empirical evidence for the United States and the euro area
Galati, Gabriele
;
Hindrayanto, Irma
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
; …
-
2016
We adopt an unobserved components time series model to extract financial cycles for the United States and the five largest euro area countries over the period 1970 to 2014. We find that credit, the credit-to-GDP ratio and house prices have medium-term cycles which share a few common statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456728
Saved in:
7
Cyclical consumption
Berger, Tino
;
Pozzi, Lorenzo
-
2023
of aggregate demand - which, as a result, varies over the
business
cycle
. As such, an accurate measurement of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380708
Saved in:
8
The timing of pollution abatement investments and the
business
cycle
: an international comparison
Bouman, M.
;
Gautier, Pieter
;
Hofkes, Marjan W.
-
1995
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000921087
Saved in:
9
Volatility spillovers and causality of carbon emissions, oil and coal spot and futures for the
EU
and USA
Chang, Chia-Lin
;
McAleer, Michael
;
Zuo, Guangdong
-
2017
-
Revised: May 2017
prices for carbon emissions. For the
EU
, there are no daily spot prices for coal or carbon emissions, but there are daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011658757
Saved in:
10
Fiscal sustainability, volatility and oil wealth : a stochastic analysis of fiscal spending rules
Wijnbergen, Sweder van
;
Budina, Nina
-
2011
Whether fiscal policy is sustainable depends on a government's future revenue and expenditure streams, both of which are highly uncertain. In commodity-rich countries, this problem is intensified by unpredictable and volatile commodity prices. We show how spending rules for oil income and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386438
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