Heun, Michael; Schlink, Torsten - Frankfurt School of Finance and Management - 2004
instruments to predict crises are needed. Our model is based on the signals approach developed by Kaminsky, Lizondo and Reinhart … (1998) and Kaminsky and Reinhart (1999). The basic idea of the signals approach is to monitor several indicators that tend … to issue a signal that a currency crisis may occur within a given period. We implemented this signals approach for Uganda …