Booth, Heather; Hyndman, Rob J; Tickle, Leonie; Jong, … - Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, … - 2006
We compare the short- to medium-term accuracy of five variants or extensions of the Lee-Carter method for mortality … forecasting. These include the original Lee-Carter, the Lee-Miller and Booth-Maindonald-Smith variants, and the more flexible … developed countries using data for 1986-2000 for evaluation. All variants and extensions are more accurate than the original Lee-Carter …