Blanchflower, David G.; Bryson, Alex - 2023
by the European Commission over 444 months between January 1985 and October 2022 in an unbalanced country*month panel of … just over 10000 observations, we predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead. We do so using individuals …' fears of unemployment which predict subsequent changes in unemployment 12 months later in the presence of country fixed …