Song, ChiUng; Boulier, Bryan L.; Stekler, Herman O. - In: International Journal of Forecasting 25 (2009) 1, pp. 182-191
Previous research on defining and measuring consensus (agreement) among forecasters has been concerned with the evaluation of forecasts of continuous variables. This previous work is not relevant when the forecasts involve binary decisions: up-down or win-lose. In this paper we use Cohen's kappa...