Cairns, Andrew (contributor); Blake, David (contributor); … - 2008
population sizes. However, in many
countries we observe the crude death rate, mc(t;x); which is the number of deaths,
D …(t;x), aged x last birthday at the date of death, during year t, divided by the
exposure, E(t;x) (the average population aged x … last birthday during year t).1
The uncertainty in future death rates can be divided into two components:
† Unsystematic …