Fontagné, Lionel; Fouré, Jean - 2013 - Manuscript date: August 2, 2013
of world trade trajectories. Taking a 2035 horizon, we examine how world trade patterns will be shaped by the changing … calibrated to reproduce observed elasticity of trade to income. Each scenario involves three steps. First, we project growth at … current account trajectories) on the CGE baseline. Third, we implement trade policy scenarios (tariffs as well as non …