Casella, Alessandra; Ehrenberg, Shuky; Gelman, Andrew; … - 2008
estimates of
the probable impact of the bonus vote. The bonus vote performs well:
when minority preferences are particularly … intense, the minority wins at
least one of the contests with 15�30 percent probability; and, when the
minority wins, aggregate … welfare increases with 85�95 percent probability.
When majority and minority preferences are equally intense, the e�ect of
the …