Franses, Philip Hans (contributor); … - 2008
(variations of) the ARIMA type, show the relevance
of the new methodology proposed in the paper. In particular, experts possess … as many opinions as there are experts.”
Franklin D. Roosevelt, 32
nd
U.S. President (1933-1945)
1. Introduction … models are adjusted by experts, and there are
many reasons why an expert could do so (see, for example, Goodwin (2000) for a …