Wang, J.; Kuo-Chen, H. - In: Natural Hazards 75 (2015) 3, pp. 2577-2587
Advanced first-order second-moment (AFOSM) is commonly used to obtain an upper-bound estimate for a probabilistic analysis. This study presents a new AFOSM application to engineering seismology, estimating major earthquake probabilities based on fault length and slip rate, along with an...