Wang, J.; Kuo-Chen, H. - In: Natural Hazards 75 (2015) 3, pp. 2577-2587
Advanced first-order second-moment (AFOSM) is commonly used to obtain an upper-bound estimate for a probabilistic … analysis. This study presents a new AFOSM application to engineering seismology, estimating major earthquake probabilities …>w</Subscript>. The AFOSM analysis shows that the probability could be as high as 64 % for a major earthquake in northern Taiwan to exceed …