Fertig, Michael; Kahanec, Martin - In: IZA journal of migration : IZAJOM 4 (2015), pp. 1-27
out-of-sample forecasts to time series cross-sectional data about post-enlargement migration flows following the EU's 2004 … enlargement. We consider two baseline policy scenarios, with and without accession of sending countries to the EU. Our results … largest inflows in absolute terms are predicted for Germany, Italy and Austria, whereas Ireland, Denmark, Finland and again …