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~subject:"Forecasting model"
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Search: subject:"proper scoring rules"
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Forecasting model
proper scoring rules
25
Theorie
22
Theory
22
Proper scoring rules
18
Prognoseverfahren
14
Probability theory
9
Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung
9
Erwartungsnutzen
8
Expected utility
8
Bayes' rule
7
Bayesian inference
7
belief measurement
7
motivated beliefs
7
Bayes-Statistik
6
Erwartungsbildung
6
Expectation formation
6
Experiment
6
belief updating
6
economic experiments
6
Decision under uncertainty
5
Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit
5
AUC
4
Belief measurement
3
CART
3
Proper Scoring Rules
3
Risiko
3
Risk
3
Strictly proper scoring rules
3
Time series analysis
3
Zeitreihenanalyse
3
boosting
3
early stopping
3
model selection
3
pruning
3
unequal misclassification costs
3
Bayesian prediction
2
Belief Elicitation
2
Belief elicitation
2
Economic experiments
2
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5
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5
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English
14
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Frazier, David T.
7
Martin, Gael M.
7
Loiza-Maya, Ruben
5
Maneesoonthorn, Worapree
4
McCabe, Brendan Peter Martin
2
Ramírez, Andrés
2
Bickel, J. Eric
1
Carvalho, Arthur
1
Grushka-Cockayne, Yael
1
Jose, Victor Richmond R.
1
Kolassa, Stephan
1
Koo, Bonsoo
1
Krüger, Fabian
1
Lichtendahl, Kenneth C.
1
Lu, Yunzi
1
Mellers, Barbara A.
1
Patton, Andrew J.
1
Pavlova, Lora
1
Smith, Zachary J.
1
Tetlock, Philip E.
1
Weerasinghe, Chaya
1
Winkler, Robert L.
1
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International journal of forecasting
5
Working paper / Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash University
5
Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, INFORMS
2
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a publication of the American Statistical Association
1
Operations research
1
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ECONIS (ZBW)
14
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1
Quantifying subjective uncertainty in survey expectations
Krüger, Fabian
;
Pavlova, Lora
- In:
International journal of forecasting
40
(
2024
)
2
,
pp. 796-810
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547207
Saved in:
2
ABC-based forecasting in state space models
Weerasinghe, Chaya
;
Loiza-Maya, Ruben
;
Martin, Gael M.
; …
-
2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014452518
Saved in:
3
Loss-based variational Bayes prediction
Frazier, David T.
;
Loiza-Maya, Ruben
;
Martin, Gael M.
; …
-
2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012614593
Saved in:
4
False dichotomy alert : improving subjective-probability estimates vs. raising awareness of systemic risk
Tetlock, Philip E.
;
Lu, Yunzi
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 1021-1025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465214
Saved in:
5
Optimal probabilistic forecasts : when do they work?
Martin, Gael M.
;
Loiza-Maya, Ruben
;
Frazier, David T.
; …
-
2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610795
Saved in:
6
Focused Bayesian prediction
Loiza-Maya, Ruben
;
Martin, Gael M.
;
Frazier, David T.
-
2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012606751
Saved in:
7
Optimal probabilistic forecasts : when do they work?
Martin, Gael M.
;
Loiza-Maya, Ruben
;
Maneesoonthorn, Worapree
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
1
,
pp. 384-406
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347814
Saved in:
8
Approximate Bayesian forecasting
Frazier, David T.
;
Maneesoonthorn, Worapree
;
Martin, Gael M.
-
2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012583287
Saved in:
9
Additive scoring rules for discrete sample spaces
Smith, Zachary J.
;
Bickel, J. Eric
- In:
Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for …
17
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 115-133
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249951
Saved in:
10
Comparing possibly misspecified forecasts
Patton, Andrew J.
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
38
(
2020
)
4
,
pp. 796-809
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012313371
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