Simionescu, Mihaela - Institutul de Prognoza Economica, Institutul National … - 2015
The necessity of improving the forecasts accuracy grew in the context of actual economic crisis, but few researchers … inflation rate forecasts on the horizon 2010-2012, we proved that the one-step-ahead forecasts based on updated AR(2) models … the models’ coefficients. In this article we introduced a new methodology of constructing the forecasts, by using the …