Vanella, Patrizio; Gonzalez, Miguel Rodriguez; Wilke, … - In: Comparative population studies : CPoS ; open acess … 47 (2022), pp. 87-118
structure are needed. We propose a probabilistic approach to forecast the number of pensions in Germany up to 2040. Our model … claims, are highly stochastic. The model predicts that, in the median trajectory, the number of old-age pensions will … increase by almost 5 million between 2017 and 2036, alongside increases in the number of disability pensions by 2036. These …