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Outperforming IMF forecasts by the use of
leading
indicators
: conference paper
Heinisch, Katja
;
Giesen, Sebastian
;
Lindner, Axel
-
2014
next year, we examine whether IMF forecasts can be improved by using
leading
indicators
with monthly updates. Using a real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484392
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2
Markov switching with endogenous number of regimes and
leading
indicators
in a real-time business cycle forecast : conference paper
Theobald, Thomas
-
2013
This paper uses several macroeconomic and financial indicators within a Markov Switching (MS) framework to predict the turning points of the business cycle. The presented model is applied to monthly German real-time data covering the recession and the recovery after the financial crisis. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339952
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