The NiGEM-S model is based on the National Institute Global Econometric Model, NiGEM, a large-scale structural macro-econometric model of the world economy, which the National Institute has been developing since 1987. NiGEM is used for forecasting and policy analysis by NIESR and model...

Speaking note, Royal Society of Edinburgh, January 2014

Presentation to Leading Change, a TUC workshop for union leaders, University of Warwick. Presents latest evidence on union membership, coverage, organisational capacity and union effectiveness.

Many politicians believe they can intervene in the economy to improve people’s lives.  But can they?  In a social experiment carried out in the United Kingdom, extensive in-work support was randomly assigned among 16,000 disadvantaged people.  We follow a sub-sample of 3,500 single parents...

Despite its potential to raise productivity, performance-related-pay (PRP) is not widespread in market-oriented economies. Furthermore, despite secular changes conducive to its take-up, there is mixed evidence as to whether it has become more prominent over time. Ours is the first paper to...

Using the Young Finns Study (YFS) combined with the Finnish Linked Employer-Employee Data (FLEED) we show that quantities of creatine measured in 1980 prior to labour market entry affect labour market outcomes over the period 1990-2010. Those with higher levels of creatine (proxied by urine...

Our monthly estimates of GDP suggest that output grew by 0.7 per cent in the three months ending in December after growth of 0.8 per cent in the three months ending in November 2013. These estimates suggest the economy expanded by 1.9 per cent in 2013, up from 0.3 per cent in 2012. The level of...

Despite its potential to raise productivity, performance-related-pay (PRP) is not widespread in market-oriented economies. Furthermore, despite secular changes conducive to its take-up, there is mixed evidence as to whether it has become more prominent over time. Ours is the first paper to...

Using nationally representative linked employer-employee data we find one-quarter of employees in Britain are paid for performance. The log hourly wage gap between performance pay and fixed pay employees is .36 points.� This falls to .15 log points after controlling for observable demographic,...

Research on employers’ hiring discrimination is limited by the unlawfulness of such activity. Consequently, researchers have focused on the intention to hire. Instead, we rely on a virtual labour market, the Fantasy Football Premier League, where employers can freely exercise their taste for...