This paper examines the term structures of default probabilities that are generated by the Collin-Dufresne and Goldstein model and a dynamic-leverage-ratio model. The dynamic-leverage-ratio model is capable of producing term structures of default probabilities which are consistent with some...

In this paper we propose a simple and easy-to-use method for computing accurate estimate (in closed form) of the double barrier hitting time distribution of a mean-reverting lognormal process, and discuss its application to pricing exotic options whose payoffs are contingent upon barrier hitting...

Hong Kong’s Linked Exchange Rate System (LERS) has been in operation for twenty-five years during which time many other fixed exchange rate systems have succumbed to shocks and/or speculative attacks. This fact alone suggests that the LERS is a robust system which enjoys a large measure of...

The book extensively discusses the structure and stability of the Hong Kong banking sector, using economic theory and advanced empirical econometric techniques. It is important for readers who are interested in studying the banking industry in general, and the Hong Kong banking sector in particular

The empirical results show that after the introduction of the three refinements to the Linked Exchange Rate system in May 2005 the Hong Kong dollar follows a bounded process that is consistent with a fully credible exchange rate band. The bounded process will limit the movements of the exchange...

Time dependent barrier options have barrier periods covering a portion of option life. This feature makes them hybrids of barrier options and ordinary European options. There are two types of time dependent barrier options: 1. front end barrier options; 2. rear end barrier options. The options...

This paper presents a benchmarking model for validation of default probabilities of listed companies for Basel II purposes. The model is based on the recent studies on the predictive capability of structural credit risk models. Benchmark ratings and one-year default probabilities are assigned to...

This paper assesses whether agency ratings and market-based default risk measures are consistent for East Asian banks during the period 1996 to 2006. While the market-based measures are broadly consistent with the credit rating assessments for banks in developed economies, the discrepancy...

The theoretical prediction of target exchange rates expects mean reversion of the exchange rates. This paper presents a model for valuing European foreign exchange options, in which the forward foreign exchange rate follows a mean-reverting lognormal process. The mean-reverting process has...

The empirical results show that after the introduction of the three refinements to the Linked Exchange Rate system in May 2005 the Hong Kong dollar follows a bounded process that is consistent with a fully credible exchange rate band. The bounded process will limit the movements of the exchange...