While weather has been shown to affect financial markets and financial decision making, a still open question is the channel through which such influence is exerted. By employing a multiple price list method, this paper provides direct experimental evidence that sunshine and good weather promote...

The idea of component models for volatility is extended to dynamic correlations. We propose a model of dynamic correlations with a short- and long-run component specification. We call this class of models DCC-MIDAS as the key ingredients are a combination of the Engle (2002) DCC model, the Engle...

We propose a new entropy-based correlation measure (co-entropy) to evaluate the performance of international asset pricing models. Co-entropy summarizes in a single number the extent of co-dependence between two variables beyond normality. We document that the co-entropy of international...

We propose a frictionless general equilibriummodel in which two international consumers with recursive preferences trade two consumption goods and a complete set of date- and state-contingent securities. Consumption home bias and concern for the temporal distribution of risk generate rich...

A policy maker knows two models of inflation-unemployment dynamics. One implies an exploitable trade-off. The other does not. The policy maker's prior probability over the two models is part of his state vector. Bayes law converts the prior into a posterior at each date and gives the policy...

In this paper we document the presence of a term structure of risk and we propose how to measure it using alternative models to forecast volatility and the Value at Risk at different horizons. We then quantify the benefits of an investor that is aware of the existence of a term structure of risk...