Escanciano, J. Carlos; Olmo, Jose - In: Journal of Financial Econometrics 9 (2011) 1, pp. 132-161
Backtesting methods are statistical tests designed to uncover value-at-risk (VaR) models not capable of reporting the correct unconditional coverage probability or filtering the serial dependence in the data. We show in this paper that these methods are subject to the presence of model risk...