Lin, Shi‐Woei; Huang, Ssu‐Wei - In: Journal of Modelling in Management 7 (2012) 1, pp. 6-22
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate how expert overconfidence and dependence affect the calibration of aggregated probability judgments obtained by various linear opinion‐pooling models. Design/methodology/approach – The authors used a large database containing...