Keynes (1923) and Hicks (1939), hypothesized that futures prices are downward biased estimates of expected spot prices. Any empirical study that employs returns on futures contracts is actually a joint test of both the Keynes-Hicks hypothesis and of the assumed model of returns. Models based on...

The on-the-run term structure is generally estimated from yields on securities that sell at or near their par values. These yields can be obtained either from market data or from published estimates of par yields, known as constant-maturity Treasury yields. The authors compare the use of...

The on-the-run term structure is generally estimated from yields on securities that sell at or near their par values. These yields can be obtained either from market data or from published estimates of par yields, known as constant maturity Treasury yields. The purpose of this research is to...

Five methods of estimating the term structure from on-the-run Treasuries are compared with respect to error in spot rate estimation, forward rate estimation and coupon bond pricing. The methods can all be considered variants of the bootstrapping technique. The two discrete-time bootstrapping...

Closed-form solutions for HARA optimal portfolios are obtained in a dynamic portfolio optimization model in three assets (stocks, bonds, and cash) in a Vasicek-type model of stochastic interest rates with correlated stock prices. The HARA is a buy-and-hold combination of a zero-coupon bond with...