In this paper we propose a measure of systemic risk in the financial sector, the Expected Systemic Shortfall (ESS) indicator. The ESS-indicator is the product of the probability of a systemic default event and the expected tail loss in case this systemic event occurs. We compute the...

In this paper we propose a measure of systemic risk in the financial sector, the expected systemic shortfall (ESS) indicator. The ESS-indicator is the product of the probability of a systemic default event and the expected tail loss in case this systemic event occurs. We compute the indicator...

The interdependencies of sovereign and banking sector credit spreads have been the subject of previous research. Since the 2007-2009 financial crisis the topic has an additional dimension as the size and structure of countries' balance sheets have changed due to various financial sector...

During the 2007-2009 financial crisis certain events in the American financial system affected financial markets around the globe. Moreover, since the onset of the euro zone sovereign debt crisis, the systemic risk in Europe also appeared to affect the banking sector risk in other regions. While...