We present a novel methodology to calculate the jump-induced tail risk premium for individual stocks and examine its effect on the following-month’s returns. The existence of a premium for bearing negative jump-induced tail risk is significantly associated with negative one-month future...

In this paper, we study how different categories of crucial COVID-19 information influence price dynamics in stock and option markets during the period from 01/21/20 to 01/31/21. We present a theoretical model in which the behavioral traders make perceptual errors based on the intensity of...

This paper introduces a novel, option-free methodology to calculate the tail risk premium for individual stocks, and examines the characteristics of this premium in the cross section of stock returns. The existence of a premium for bearing negative tail risk is significantly associated with...

The VIX index is not only a volatility index but also a polynomial combination of all possible higher moments in market return distribution under the risk-neutral measure. This paper formulates the VIX as a linear decomposition of four fundamentally different elements: the realized variance...

This article demonstrates theoretically that without imposing any structure on the underlying forcing process, the model-free CBOE volatility index (VIX) does not measure market expectation of volatility but that of a linear moment-combination. Particularly, VIX undervalues (overvalues)...