This paper develops a framework for projecting the GDP growth of Australia’s trading partners from 2012 to 2050. The framework draws heavily on the existing conditional growth literature, including long-standing estimates of key convergence parameters. It adds to the large amount of research...

This paper develops a framework for projecting the GDP growth of Australia’s trading partners from 2012 to 2050. The framework draws heavily on the existing conditional growth literature, including long-standing estimates of key convergence parameters. It adds to the large amount of research...

This paper analyses the history of China’s demand for commodities — across energy, metals and agriculture — and the potential path of future demand. It compares China’s experience in recent decades with that of other recent industrialising economies, and considers the scale and pace of...