Ötting, Marius; Langrock, Roland; Maruotti, Antonello - In: AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis 107 (2021) 1-2, pp. 9-27
We investigate the potential occurrence of change points—commonly referred to as “momentum shifts”—in the dynamics of football matches. For that purpose, we model minute-by-minute in-game statistics of Bundesliga matches using hidden Markov models (HMMs). To allow for within-state...