Amelung, Torsten; Mehltretter, Thorsten - In: Konjunkturpolitik, Zeitschrift für angewandte … 32 (1986) 5, pp. 257-281
The paper analyzes and tests various quantitative models to assess the probability of default of sovereign debt, such as scoring models, univariate analysis as well as logit models.The outcomes of the different models are not at a level that they could be used for forecasting or rating. There...