Billari, Francesco; Graziani, Rebecca; Melilli, Eugenio - In: Demography 51 (2014) 5, pp. 1933-1954
This article suggests a procedure to derive stochastic population forecasts adopting an expert-based approach. As in previous work by Billari et al. (<CitationRef CitationID="CR7">2012</CitationRef>), experts are required to provide evaluations, in the form of conditional and unconditional scenarios, on summary indicators of the...</citationref>