K, Newton Paul; Kamran, Aslam - In: Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports 5 (2009) 3, pp. 1-44
We develop a stochastic Markov chain model to obtain the probability density function (pdf) for a player to win a match in tennis. By analyzing both individual player and 'field' data (all players lumped together) obtained from the 2007 Men's Association of Tennis Professionals (ATP) circuit, we...