Pelizza, Michela; Schenk-Hoppé, Klaus Reiner - In: Journal of Risk and Financial Management 13 (2020) 2, pp. 1-14
Our paper forecasts the expected recovery rates of defaulted Italian mortgage loans backed by either residential or commercial real estate. We apply an exponential Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process to model the price dynamics at the provincial and regional level, and two haircut models to estimate the...